马斯克接受本·夏皮罗专访(完整版)
Elon Musk Interview With Ben Shapiro (FULL INTERVIEW)
0:00Are we live or?
0:01I don't know, I assume we are.
0:02We're rolling.
0:03We're rolling.
0:04Okay.
0:05You guys are good.
0:06This is how normal we are.
0:07Yeah.
0:08You're just going to the front.
0:10Yeah, yeah, sure, sure.
0:11So, okay.
0:12Let's go see the chairs.
0:13You too.
0:14Yeah.
0:15Yeah.
0:16Lovely country of Poland.
0:17Yeah, exactly.
0:18Didn't expect to meet a nice girl like you here.
0:20Here we are.
0:21We're in Poland.
0:22They just brought us together.
0:23Exactly.
0:24So, I want to ask you about what feels like a giant war on the meritocracy on achievement.
0:29You're the richest person in the world. You've started three of the biggest companies in history.
0:32Non-sovereign, not counting sovereign.
0:34No, I can't not.
0:35And who would?
0:36And who would?
0:37It's a sound, not a sugar-pooten from, you know, I'm the buddy.
0:40Well, yeah, I mean, I'm a starter-war-ish.
0:42Exactly, exactly.
0:44If you were assassinations, I'd love this as well.
0:46Yeah, yeah, exactly.
0:47So, why do you think right now there is such a war?
0:52And it seems like on all sides of the political aisle,
0:54against people who achieve, against people who are smart.
0:59It feels like right now innovators are under attack.
1:02And again, it doesn't seem like that's super political.
1:04It seems like people on the right and people on the left
1:06have this giant theory that the economy,
1:09that whoever succeeds in the economy,
1:10must necessarily be rigging it,
1:12that innovators are somehow screwing the little guy.
1:15Now what do you make of that?
1:16Where's that coming from?
1:19Well, I mean, I think some of this
1:20is really just communism rebranded,
1:24just with different marketing.
1:26Fundamental to the free market or capitalism is meritocracy.
1:32It made the best product or service win, and the best product or service will be made by the team that works the hardest, as the most talented,
1:41and that is what results in great products and services in a capitalist economy.
1:46me. And, you know, I always blows my mind when I discover that, you know, kids coming
1:55out of college in America who have had things very easy take communism actually seriously.
2:01It blows my mind. I thought it was a joke. If I was on X, FK, Twitter, I was joking, but
2:09the ridiculousness of taking that seriously anymore. And then a whole bunch of people
2:13attacked me, like of course it's serious.
2:15I'm like what?
2:16You guys crazy just dust off your copy of dust,
2:20copper to all of you.
2:22What are you kidding me?
2:24I'm like how many times does that experiment bring
2:26run with terrible consequences?
2:28And you know generally for any given political philosophy,
2:35you have to say which side has to build the world to keep
2:38people in.
2:40That's the bad side.
2:42It's not subtle.
2:43It wasn't West Berlin that built the wall.
2:46Wait, you see this giant sort of myth making project that's
2:50taken place where, you know, if you are successful, they
2:53now have to rewrite history about you.
2:55So you've gotten the, you were apparently an emerald
2:58scion, you were brought uber wealthy.
3:00We were just one.
3:01We were just one.
3:02I'd like to see a picture of this mine.
3:04If everyone can dig this mine up, I'd love to see it.
3:07First of all, the entire emerald industry is like
3:09worth of pittance.
3:11And I've never been seen this mine.
3:18It's some random story that my dad made up, basically.
3:23My dad, who has many talents, I want to be clear,
3:27he's an extremely talented electrical and mechanical
3:31engineer, and a very talented artist.
3:33I mean, he could draw everything from like in the style
3:36of rambrons to watercolors to sketches, anything.
3:38you could sketch this room and then say do a caricature of anyone and he'll do a
3:42capture that matches their personality. It might be the best real-time artist I've
3:47ever seen. So he's got a lot of talents but unfortunately he has a few screws loose.
3:52Fast don't we all. And he actually went bankrupt in the 90s. So my brother and I
3:59have been supporting it financially for the last 25 years and we've inherited
4:04nothing from him, you know, so there's no anything.
4:08I arrived in Canada with just over $2,000 in Canadian
4:13Travelers' checks back when that was a thing.
4:16And one bag full of my clothes and a backpack full of books.
4:22That was my entire possessions.
4:24That's how I started, nothing more.
4:26And so why do you think people insist on rewriting the history,
4:29making it that you're in air?
4:31I mean, I get some of the same thing on mine or level, right?
4:33I brought the live.
4:34So I gave it air.
4:35Right.
4:36To air is human they say.
4:40But they air on the air.
4:45But there is something that's weird happening out there.
4:50You innovate and you make new things.
4:52And there is a drive to hem in that innovation.
4:55I was recently talking with a pretty major political figure in the United States who's
4:58not at the left.
4:59And he was suggesting, for example, that we need to have outlaw automated driving.
5:02He's going to put truckers out of work.
5:03Because if we don't automatically
5:05out love the new technologies, this kind of blood
5:07atism, then people are going to be out of work.
5:09It's going to destroy the society.
5:10And what we really have to focus on are the people who
5:12are going to be left behind by the technology.
5:14What do you make of that?
5:16Well, first of all, I think, ultimately,
5:18if you have digital superintelligence,
5:21I'm not sure there's a job for anyone.
5:23Yeah.
5:25So the whole AI discussion is a question in and of itself.
5:29I do think in a positive AI future that there will be no shortage of goods and services.
5:39So it won't be universal basic income, it'll be universal high income.
5:45Now that all sounds good, but in terms of the book, Man Search for Meaning, well, to
5:52to the degree that you're defined by your career,
5:55you may have trouble finding meaning in life.
5:59So that's more the challenge that, you know,
6:04if one is to have an existential crisis,
6:05it's like, well, how can I do anything useful
6:08if the computer can do everything better than me?
6:11That will really be the challenge.
6:13Now maybe that'll be fine.
6:14Maybe you just play, you know, watch it in credit
6:16or movies, play video games and do water sports
6:19and computer just does everything else.
6:23But I guess that's the blind scenario.
6:25Have you read in banks?
6:27No.
6:28Highly recommend in banks the culture books.
6:31It's probably the best semi utopian future of AI,
6:39where the computers are far smarter than humans,
6:42but they take care of the humans.
6:44Like they care about the humans being happy.
6:46So in that future, I mean, I think one of the things
6:49you've talked about is the fact that the West is completely
6:53under reproducing.
6:54Not too do you personally.
6:55You've been very productive.
6:56And I have for kids.
6:57We're both ahead of this.
7:00But that would be presumably.
7:03You're my fifth.
7:05I'll talk to my wife.
7:06That would be one of the places to presume
7:07that people will have to put their efforts.
7:10And what's interesting is that the people who
7:12are putting their efforts in those directions
7:14tend to be by and large more religiously oriented.
7:17We're seeing the science of acumen as well.
7:19there is you kids and religious people have many, many kids, right?
7:22The atheist are bringing themselves out.
7:24I talked to Richard Dawkins, you know.
7:27Yeah.
7:27Yeah.
7:29I wrote the selfish gene, mind-watchmaker and whatnot,
7:33and coined the term me, my belief.
7:38And I said, well, you know, so how many kids do you have, Richard?
7:41Oh, one.
7:42OK.
7:43So you're going to have one kid, great.
7:45Yes, the birth rate tends to correlate with the degree to which someone is religious, the
7:56degree to which they have the least amount of education, and basically the poorer someone
8:01is, the less educated someone is, and the more religious they are, the more kids they
8:05will have.
8:06So those are objective correlates.
8:08So I'm going to make the case to you on a religious level that the only one of those
8:11things that is possible to have in the West and not get rid of all the glories of the West
8:15is a belief in a higher power or inner religious belief of some sort because you can be rich
8:20and I mean, I'm doing pretty well with that four days.
8:22You can't be like a nihilist or something.
8:24Right, exactly.
8:25Like, nihilism doesn't tend toward anything.
8:28And I know that you've thought a lot about that sort of stuff and how do you get out
8:31of that sort of the nihilist box and find what to do?
8:36Well, my religion for lack of a better word is one of curiosity, where we want to expand
8:45the scope of scale consciousness on Earth and beyond Earth and ultimately to other star
8:52systems.
8:53And in order to do that, we need to increase the number of conscious beings and we need
8:58to advance technology such that we can have a self-sustaining city on Mars, ultimately
9:05populate the whole solar system and then go beyond our solar system to other star systems.
9:11And therefore, we need more humans.
9:14First of all.
9:16So I mean, that's an amazingly different goal than what we've had for the past.
9:20Yeah, I propose this as a new philosophy.
9:22Yeah.
9:23Well, not new, but maybe niche, but hopefully getting a bit bigger.
9:30So with that philosophy in mind, the purpose of that philosophy is that the more we expand
9:38the scope and scale of consciousness, the more we are able to understand the reality
9:42that we live in, the nature of the universe.
9:46And to answer the questions that we have, and perhaps more importantly, to know what
9:53questions we are not asking.
9:55As Douglas Adams would say in Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy, the answer is the easy
9:59the hard part, answers 42, what's the question?
10:03So I think that's a pretty optimistic, positive philosophy.
10:08Also has a lot of room for other beliefs, if you want to add them to the fundamental tenets of my belief structure are expand the scale of consciousness.
10:23I mean, more people, I guess more computers to the degree that they are conscious.
10:31And we want to pass through one of the great filters that, you know, you've fully with
10:40the Fermi Paradox and the great filter.
10:42No.
10:43Okay, so Enrico Fermi, great, amazing physicist, posed a very simple question.
10:51He said, we're the aliens because we've seen no sign of them.
10:56Now, a lot of people think they've seen signs of aliens.
10:59I have seen no evidence whatsoever of aliens.
11:02So that's a troubling question.
11:03Why not?
11:06So one of the answers, perhaps the most likely answer,
11:08is that we're at the tiny candle of consciousness
11:15that constitutes humanity is all that there is.
11:20in this vast doctors.
11:23And I think we should assume that that is the case until we
11:26actually have evidence to the contrary.
11:29And moreover, human consciousness only arose
11:34after 4 and 1 half billion years.
11:36It took a long time.
11:38And if it had taken even 10% longer,
11:41it probably would not have evolved
11:42because the sun is expanding.
11:45As the sun expands, it'll start heating Earth.
11:48and Earth will, the oceans will evaporate,
11:52will become more like Venus, inhospitable to life.
11:55So I think we may have made, we may have achieved consciousness,
12:01or consciousness that's capable of developing technology
12:05just in time.
12:08I find it remarkable that we are at this point in history
12:11where we're able for the first time to go beyond Earth,
12:16to send people, we said people to the moon in the early 70s, but not,
12:21essence, not gone back. But with the Starship rocket that SpaceX is developing,
12:28we had two test flights, we'll have many more this year, that that vehicle is
12:32designed to make life multi-planetary. It's the first vehicle that I just gave
12:37them during that, a permanent base on the moon and I said, yeah, Mars. So I think we
12:44Everyone want to get that done as soon as possible.
12:49The window of opportunity to make life multi-planetary and secure the future of consciousness may be
12:56open for a long time or may be open for a short time.
12:59I think it will be wise to, not assume that it will be open for a long time.
13:04So, when we act now, to act now to make life multi-planetary.
13:09And one of the things that's fascinating about your saying is that it assumes an innate
13:12level of belief and love for human beings.
13:16Yes.
13:17I love humanity.
13:18So why?
13:19I mean, it's a weird question, but I mean, really kind of why.
13:22I mean, we're not that great.
13:24We have amazing, particularly.
13:26We can be angels, we can be devils.
13:28Obviously, we have the capacity for all of the things in between.
13:31What do you think makes, aside from just the qualities
13:35that theoretically could be duplicated by AI
13:37in the very near future?
13:38What makes human beings unique and worthwhile?
13:40I'll tell you something.
13:41I think that maybe resonates.
13:45I think actually everyone loves humanity.
13:48Now, they may not love everyone in humanity.
13:51But you say, how many people want
13:55to be in solitary confinement?
13:57OK.
13:58How many people want to live alone in a forest by themselves?
14:02Almost no human beings want to do that.
14:05So actually, in reality, all humans love humanity
14:09and want to be part of humanity, with the rare exception of someone who's got severe psychological
14:16issues.
14:18So that's why solitary confinement is considered a terrible punishment in prison.
14:25Because even though other prisoners are probably not the finest examples of humans, you still
14:30want to hang out with them.
14:33So I think it's a natural thing.
14:37You know, as long as kids aren't taught to hate other people,
14:43I think the natural inclination is to love humanity.
14:47So I'm going to go back to some of the business conversation
14:49that I want to go back to the SpaceX of it.
14:52When it comes to business, what do you
14:54see as sort of the biggest obstacles to not only the success
14:58of your companies, but to success generally?
15:00because there seems to be this idea abroad that people can't duplicate the path.
15:05It basically used to be that people like you could succeed, but now it's totally finished
15:10and now you can't get ahead.
15:11America, the biggest change in that regard is for even more.
15:16There are new companies being formed all the time in the US.
15:19Well, what do you see as the obstacles to companies being successful increasingly in
15:25the West if there are obstacles to that?
15:28Well, I think excess regulation, you know, taxes do
15:34rash out every year, making a little difficult,
15:36a little harder every year as taxes rash out.
15:39But the regulatory creep is, I think, a massive danger.
15:43So laws and regulations are immortal.
15:47But the regulators and the lawmakers make new rules
15:52and regulations and laws and regulations every year.
15:55And so you have this, so every year you've got this sort
15:57of another layer of laws and regulations.
16:01I saw this getting to the point where everything's legal.
16:04You can't get anything done.
16:06Now, they say, well, how do they deal with it in the past?
16:09Well, the way they dealt with it in the past
16:11would there be a war.
16:13And the war would wash away the old rules and regulations.
16:17That's, we literally would take a war to change things.
16:22like Napoleon establishing the Napoleonic Code
16:27that overrode the old law systems,
16:32the loads in peasants,
16:35and for all that the bad that Napoleon did,
16:40I think he did more good, actually.
16:43So the evidence is in that, I think,
16:46maybe a third or half of all countries on Earth
16:48still run on the Napoleonic Code.
16:51So, and I would prefer to have some clean up process for laws and regulations that doesn't
16:59require a wall, that would be nice.
17:03I think that's something we need to institute, like basically garbage collection for laws
17:07and regulations.
17:08And one of the things that has been suggested, a book called the Sovereign Individual written
17:11in the late 90s, that basically suggested that we are entering the era of avoidance,
17:17that people are going to be able to be sovereigns.
17:20You talk about Savarnell, if earlier you're not king of something, but you are the head
17:24of your companies.
17:25And so in the future, people will just be able to move money around, locate where the regulations
17:30are the friendliest.
17:31And so the United States right now thinks that we have the advantage because we historically
17:34have.
17:35But that doesn't mean that that's how it's going to go in the future.
17:36You're seeing more and more companies, for example, going to Singapore or going elsewhere
17:40just to move away from those regulations.
17:42So avoidance, which wasn't a strategy in 17th century France, where you're going to go exactly,
17:46is now a very real set of possibilities
17:50for a lot of entrepreneurs.
17:51Yeah.
17:52Well, and regulation in the US,
17:54various by state as well.
17:55California is the most regulated state.
17:57So increasingly people seek to do things outside of California
18:01or outside of New York.
18:02Those are the two most heavily regulated states.
18:05So given all those things, do you think
18:08that there's going to be a backlash to regulation in America?
18:11Or do you think that the West is sort of America
18:13being a stand-in for that?
18:14sliding into this morass of regulation based on,
18:19honestly, it looks like to a certain extent jealousy,
18:21it looks like trying to tear down success
18:24in the name of fairness, as opposed to.
18:27I mean, it's here for the things.
18:28There's regulation, it's where she intended
18:30to serve the public good.
18:34You know, rules against one thing or another.
18:37Like the car industry gets, you know,
18:40has lots of rules in how to make a car.
18:44I mean, there'll be like piles of books in this room
18:47to cover just the US regulations,
18:50what is required to build a car.
18:53Those are, at least ostensibly,
18:55they're aimed for safety.
18:57But in terms of other regulations,
19:03yeah, I think generally we wanna be averse
19:07to any regulation that is anti-meritocratic.
19:09The point of fighting racism, sexism, and whatnot was not to replace it with another form of racism and sexism,
19:22but to get rid of racism and get rid of sexism, not to change it to another form.
19:30DEI is fundamentally racist and sexist.
19:33So I want to get back to the space conversation.
19:35That's fascinating.
19:36And I was telling you before we started this, my son is
19:38like the biggest SpaceX fan that's possible to be, because
19:40what you're doing is inspiring on a truly galactic level.
19:44So when we talk about getting to Mars, how realistic do you
19:50think that is?
19:50There's a book that just came out, reviewed in the Wall Street
19:52Journal, talking about all of the various obstacles to human
19:54beings actually living on Mars.
19:55Like we live in a pretty propitious place.
19:58I mean, the world is a pretty wonderful planet.
20:01And so, yeah, exactly.
20:03So what are the biggest obstacles?
20:05And what do you think the timeline is in terms of having a robust presence on other planets?
20:10Well, we're hoping to have the first humans on the moon in less than five years.
20:21Mars may be a little longer than five years.
20:24I'd be surprised if we don't have humans on Mars within ten years.
20:28Wow.
20:29Yeah.
20:30And then we're going to aim to have a lot of humans and build a city on Mars in a base on the moon.
20:35And how do we mobilize that many resources there that quickly?
20:39That's a lot of resources necessary.
20:41It's not like you can draw from the environment.
20:43A lot of resources.
20:44And I should say that in order to pass the familiar grateful
20:48to being a multi-pants species, the second planet
20:54has to be self-sustaining.
20:56So as it is being that if the resupply ships stop from Earth,
21:02stop coming for any reason whatsoever,
21:04could be mundane or serious, will Mars die out or not?
21:10So Mars has to be completely self-sufficient
21:14in order to pass the familiar gratefuls.
21:19That particular gratefuls I'm talking about
21:21is if something clams has happened to one planet
21:24is humanity gone or not.
21:27And how long will it take for that to be self-sustaining?
21:29When you say in 10 years people will be on Mars?
21:32like 40, 40 years years.
21:34So one of the things I think that captures
21:36the imagination about what you're doing
21:38is that you're speaking in ambitious terms
21:40that people have not spoken in the West
21:42for solidly half a century.
21:43Yeah, I mean really.
21:44It's an amazing thing.
21:45I guess I say it's often I can't do that.
21:47I mean, you say this stuff because it's you all the time.
21:49But the reality is that the last time people were talking
21:52about within a decade, we're going
21:53to have a man on the moon was JFK talking
21:55at the beginning of the 1960s.
21:56Yeah, it's like two hours.
21:57And it's been full on half a century since anybody talked
21:59like this and I think people find it shocking
22:02and I think maybe we should look at the other side of that
22:05to both sides.
22:05One, what makes you different?
22:09And two, why do you think that dream went away?
22:11Why do you think it was that for half a century
22:13after we put a man on the moon,
22:15we just kind of receded back into whatever the hell
22:18was else going on?
22:20Yeah, that's a long story.
22:24But the follow up to the shuttle,
22:28to the Saturn V was the space shuttle.
22:30Space shuttle could only go to the low Earth orbit.
22:34But the aspiration was to make it reusable.
22:37But the, unfortunately, did not succeed in that goal.
22:42The space shuttle was so difficult to refurb
22:45that it ended up costing as much as the Saturn V.
22:49And then the main, the primary structure
22:52of the space shuttle orbit is in some big orange tank.
22:55It's actually the primary airframe
22:57because it takes the load from the orbiter, the airplane-looking thing, and the side boosters.
23:04So you lose that every time.
23:05The side boosters landing the ocean and they're solid rocket boosters so that they have to
23:12get your back to the factory to get solid propellant loaded in.
23:16It got a long story short.
23:17The cost per flight of the shuttle ended up being roughly the same as a Saturn V expandable.
23:27So, but the shuttle had about a quarter of the payload to orbit and could not reach the
23:31moon.
23:33So, you know, so noble ideas at the start, but ultimately it was not a good design.
23:40So, and then the shuttle retired obviously and then we had nothing.
23:47That's not a good curve, going from the moon to low orbit to nothing.
23:54That does not extrapolate to being a multi-planet species.
23:57So that's why I started SpaceX, is to try to reverse that trend and get us back on to
24:07doing exciting things in space again.
24:11Things that make people excited to get up in the morning and say yes, the humanity is
24:14going to do some amazing thing in space.
24:17And one of the things that's so impressive about SpaceX is not just the aspiration, but
24:21the fact that it's a successful business and that you realize very early on, that it's
24:26not enough to have the aspiration.
24:27I mean, it was a government, put a person on the moon, that that's not the same thing
24:31as actually being able to build, you said, self-sustaining with regard to life on Mars,
24:35but a self-sustaining business that actually has the capacity and a profit-driven model to
24:39do something like that, to project.
24:41Yeah.
24:42I mean, to be clear, at the start of SpaceX, I gave us less than 10% chance of success.
24:46I thought we'd probably die.
24:49But I think if something is important enough, it's worth doing, even if you think it's going
24:53to fail.
24:54And we almost did fail.
24:55The first three launches, Vassmall rocket, failed, only the fourth one launched, succeeded.
25:01And if we, if that fourth one had failed, we would be dead.
25:05So it's close.
25:08At this point, you know, I'm not going to worry.
25:10SpaceX is quite prosperous.
25:12SpaceX did about 80% of all payload to over the last year of Earth.
25:17about 12% and the rest of world at 8%.
25:21So in this year, if things go well, SpaceX will do 90% of all payload to Earth.
25:26And then as Starship really takes off, SpaceX will be doing at least based on what other
25:32companies are currently doing, which is around three, four, hundred tons to orbit.
25:38SpaceX ultimately will be doing several hundred thousand tons to orbit, maybe a million tons
25:43to orbit.
25:44It's amazing.
25:45what you mentioned there, that is a sort of skin of the teeth thing. I mean that's
25:48been true in a lot of companies that you've worked with. I mean that was true in
25:51Tesla also, that it was a real skin of the teeth thing. Yeah. And so maybe you
25:56can talk a little bit about what does that feel like? I mean as a CEO,
25:59yeah, you must do you enjoy the risk? Do you enjoy that stressful?
26:04Well, I don't see grisps for risks, say.
26:09Tesla had many close calls with death.
26:14The natural state of a car company, America, is dead.
26:17I mean, the only two car companies
26:18that have not gone bankrupt are Ford and Tesla.
26:21GM and Chrysler were in bankrupt until 2009.
26:25There have been hundreds of car bankruptcies before.
26:28So it's one of those things where, like I said,
26:31the natural state of a car company is dead.
26:33So you have to keep pulling rabbits out of a hat to not be dead.
26:36Do you think that your personality is suited to that,
26:38and that's why you're successful at this,
26:40that you think that you're unique to the companies you pick,
26:42that you're pulling rabbits out of hats?
26:44Is it that every company is pulling rabbits out of hats?
26:46Pull so many rabbits out of hats, like an ark or rabbit.
26:48It's funny to be there.
26:51I mean, I'm good at solving technology problems.
26:53So and rockets and cars, both technology problems,
26:59a very strong team.
27:01They work with me.
27:02And yeah, so far so good.
27:06Now onto X, which is its own set of issues and difficulties.
27:11You come in, and for many of us, it was like you're coming
27:14into save free speech.
27:16And it was, I think, really a signal moment, because it is
27:20very clear that there is a sensorious hand that's been
27:22placed on all of these tech companies.
27:24And you came in and you said, we're going to open this
27:26place up, and you definitely did.
27:29And the blowback has been absolutely wild.
27:31I mean, really tremendous.
27:32And pretty clearly coincident with the amount
27:35of mainstream media hatred of you.
27:38You went from being Golden Boy, Time Magazine, Newsweek,
27:43we all love you, everyone loves you.
27:45Where's that one go?
27:46SNL, right, like now if SNL had you on,
27:48there might be a riot in the street.
27:49Because apparently, by opening up free speech, you've...
27:54I mean, I think there's like a small section
27:56of the sort of elite media that hate me.
27:59But if I go down the street, people are really super friendly.
28:03So I think the average citizen is a fan, or suddenly doesn't hate me.
28:10I mean, I am the most involved account, most interactive account in social media by far.
28:18So I think technically there's people on Instagram with more followers,
28:22but in terms of interactions.
28:25I have the most interacted with social media accounts on Earth.
28:31Recently passed 169 million followers.
28:35So can 169 million people be wrong?
28:37I know we'll find out in the next election cycle.
28:42But when you feel that, do you think
28:45that that was a reaction to the fact
28:47that you were basically saying the thing you're not
28:49supposed to say, which is that the sources of information
28:51that people are receiving are in fact siphoned off
28:54and censored.
28:56Yeah, exactly.
28:59It was actually amazing to me how much the legacy media
29:06walks in lockstep.
29:08There's nobody breaks ranks.
29:13And now we have x that breaks ranks,
29:16and it doesn't just go with whatever the approved narrative
29:19is.
29:21I think for many in the public, they don't quite realize just
29:23how much the deception is really going on with the media.
29:29The biggest deception is the choice of narrative,
29:32because they can write a story about this,
29:35or write a story about that.
29:36And only a few stories can go on the front page.
29:39So you're deciding essentially what people should pay attention to.
29:44So instead of it being something that,
29:47what people pay attention to being what people actually care about,
29:50it's actually what a handful of editors care about.
29:52They're telling the people what to pay attention to.
29:56So the deception by choice of narrative is a big thing.
29:59So that's why I really want the narratives
30:01to bubble up organically from the people
30:04in the case of the ex-system, which they do.
30:08And people should be allowed to say things
30:11that are within the law.
30:16If the law isn't good enough,
30:18then great, we'll talk to your elected representative
30:21and have passed law to change that.
30:23But otherwise, we need to stick to hold true
30:27to the Constitution and the laws and allow people
30:30to say things, even if we don't like what they say.
30:34In fact, that's obviously the true test for free speech
30:37is that someone says something you don't like,
30:40because otherwise it's obviously not free speech.
30:42What do you think?
30:43Is the biggest thing you can do?
30:44You're going to crash me all the time on the X platform,
30:46like whatever.
30:47Yeah, and just crash me on the X platform,
30:49what's the wrong one?
30:50So what do you think is the biggest untold narrative,
30:52the thing that the media have been missing
30:54for years and years or suppressing for years and years?
30:58Well, there's a few things, but I've generally tried
31:05to say to increase the so-called overtune window
31:08of what can be discussed, what is it okay to discuss
31:11without being ostracized?
31:14Certainly attacking DEI would have been ostracized
31:18before and not anymore.
31:22And, you know, anything that sort of says sort of,
31:29or that the media ignores, the public can then, you know,
31:34raise it on the X platform
31:36and make that an actual topic of discussion.
31:41So, I mean, you probably think of it,
31:45can think of a few reasons, or a few reasons.
31:47Oh, I mean, obviously one of the big ones
31:49when you were first buying X was the unwillingness
31:52to say that men exist and women exist as actual biological
31:55categories.
31:55Oh, yeah.
31:56And that one came up a lot.
31:57You could get suspended for that.
31:58Oh, yeah.
31:59Oh, yeah.
32:00You couldn't even debate the subject
32:02without getting suspended.
32:03That was a huge one.
32:07There are a bunch of no-no's that you just
32:08weren't allowed to do.
32:09And I think that a lot of people are grateful for the broadening
32:12of the overton window.
32:13That does, as a person who's trying to do good in the world,
32:17one of the things that I've always
32:19said about people who are in charge of these tech platforms is that it's very difficult
32:25to be that job because there is obviously something that's outside the over-10 window
32:30where you say like it's my platform, I just don't want this on the platform. How do you
32:34decide that? I mean to a certain extent it is a cotty under a tree basically saying
32:38I just, you know, this is too much for me, I know when I see it kind of definition.
32:42But we're trying to be as objective as possible. Is something breaking the law or most likely
32:49likely breaking the, we don't get judged the same for sure, but this was being said, seemed
32:56to be illegal. Like someone saying they're going to murder somebody, I think, threats
33:00of murder are illegal, for sure. And, you know, so that would result in a suspension. And
33:13Then there's a separate thing which is something either
33:19sort of potentially pornographic or not safe for advertisers.
33:26Meaning the topic is too contentious to expect that
33:29advertisers will advertise with that account.
33:35You take like Dom Deluca as an example recently where he says
33:40some pretty edgy stuff.
33:42And that's OK, but just as he has the right to say edgy stuff,
33:49some of which is untrue and he gets community
33:52known at all the time.
33:54But advertisers also have the right to not advertise
33:59on Don Deluca's posts.
34:03So it's like his freedom to say we want,
34:06but he can't coerce advertisers to advertise.
34:12So when you look at the future of X,
34:15you've talked about X being kind of an everything company.
34:17What does that actually look like?
34:20I just mean, all the things that you would want to use online.
34:25In China has WeChat, which is,
34:27you kind of live on your WeChat in China.
34:30So you buy things on WeChat, you post,
34:35you know, if text, audio, video to various feeds.
34:40Yeah, payments, it's sort of like everything.
34:46So I want to try to have an app that at least allows you to do everything on X. You don't
34:52have to, but if you want to, you can.
34:55So I mean, all these...
34:57Well, I think what PayPal should have been basically.
35:01So you have three massive and growing companies. How do you balance all that? I mean, you also
35:07have a ton of kids. I mean, you make me look like I'm childless and by the number of children
35:12that you have, how do you balance all of those life demands?
35:14Well, my older boys are in college and high school, so they're, you know, they don't want
35:22much of my time because they're like, you know, 17, 19.
35:25Yeah, sorry, a three and a half year old and you're carrying them around.
35:27Yeah, he loves hanging with me. So I bring X round, yeah, I try to spend as much time
35:34as possible, I guess.
35:36So what is the day in the life like?
35:38Is it just different every single day?
35:40It's different for every single day.
35:42Yeah.
35:44I mean, I do a lot of engineering meetings and design meetings.
35:48So when I head to Tesla, Palo Alto later tomorrow,
35:56I'll be going through engineering design reviews
36:01of optimists and your vehicle programs of our Tesla AI
36:06for self-driving, Wednesday will be a bunch of product meetings
36:11on software, the X platform, so improving audio visual calling.
36:19So you can not just DM, but you can actually do
36:22call voice and video calls.
36:25And then also do group voice and video calls.
36:30Obviously, we want to introduce payments later this year when we get the approvals.
36:37Is it the engineering part of it that excites you the most?
36:39Which part of these things?
36:40I'm a product guy, so I developed technology products.
36:45That's what I do.
36:47So you're known as you can be a demanding boss, so the rumor goes.
36:51So I mean, I have expectations.
36:53Yeah, that's how I mean.
36:55So what do you think being a good boss should look like to people?
37:02How many employees do you have at your various companies at this point?
37:06Tesla's about 140,000, SpaceX, 15,000.
37:12Foreign companies I think 300, you're like about 300.
37:16X is around 1,300.
37:19So that's a lot of employees.
37:22So how do you think a boss ought to interact with employees?
37:26I mean, because obviously there's a balance between it's sort of Tommy LaSorta, the manager
37:31of the Dodgers, and once said that managing a baseball team was like holding a dove.
37:33You want to hold it tight enough that it doesn't get away, but not so tightly you squish it.
37:36So what do you think is the optimum employee management strategies for the budding entrepreneur
37:44out there?
37:45I don't know.
37:46I just leave with my team and we go around the table and talk about what everyone got
37:50done this past week and what they're planning to do next week, and then try to make some
37:55decisions about product design and direction or solve some particular technology problem.
38:02They're quite collegial, my meetings.
38:05They're not, you know, it's not me talking.
38:09I talk the least of the meetings.
38:11We're talking about information and limiting information flow, and obviously you and I
38:16I was just at Auschwitz today, which is a heavy experience.
38:19And one of the things that we were learning about and talking
38:23about was how limited flow of information allows for
38:27atrocities to happen.
38:29What was your takeaway?
38:30Exactly.
38:32Essentially, yeah, when the Germans came in, the first
38:35thing they did was shut down all the press.
38:37So everything was heavily censored.
38:40So you can say anything unless it was
38:42pre-rept by the government.
38:45So I think really, free speech is the bedrock of democracy.
38:53And free speech is what allows atrocities to be called out
38:57and for people to be aware of them.
38:58That's why the Germans wanted to shut down the price immediately.
39:03So in a way, I think we should do everything
39:09we can to preserve free speech.
39:12And when we lose free speech, I think
39:14we lose democracy.
39:15One of the other things we were talking about earlier
39:17to touch back on it was the DEI of it.
39:19And one of the things that you and I
39:22had been discussing a little bit offline
39:23is the fact that DEI effectively is a conspiracy theory
39:27in which there is a cadre of powerful people
39:29who are at the top and they control everything else
39:31that's happening.
39:32And because those powerful people are at the top,
39:34they are exploiting everybody else
39:36and they have to be taken down more than one peg.
39:39And that conspiracy theory matches very,
39:42aligned very closely with anti-Semitic conspiracy theories.
39:45I think the idea is very extremely anti-Semitic.
39:48That's cool.
39:50So yeah, absolutely.
39:55And it's just generally anti-minute meritocratic,
39:59which I think is very dangerous.
40:02You want to have a society where you succeed based
40:08on your skills and hard work.
40:11That's it.
40:12And it doesn't matter about your race, gender, creed,
40:14religion, nothing.
40:16Just are you good at your job?
40:17Do you work hard?
40:19Do you have high integrity?
40:21Nothing more.
40:22That's it.
40:23Stop there.
40:25And it seems as though, in our society right now,
40:28there's an objection to that.
40:29But that objection, it seems to me, can only be sustained.
40:33If you are tacitly acknowledging that you will not
40:36succeed in the meritocracy, the people who
40:38are pushing this the hardest.
40:39Yeah, it's patronizing, frankly.
40:41Yeah, I mean, it's essentially making the argument,
40:43I'm not succeeding.
40:44The reason I'm not succeeding is because no one can succeed.
40:46And so it's an argument, to a certain extent,
40:50of the unsuccessful, or people who feel as though they are,
40:53they deserve more.
40:54And one of the things that occurs to me
40:56is that I'm not sure that anybody, quote unquote,
40:58deserves anything other than what your hard work
41:00and innovation bring you in life.
41:02I think DEI also, for those who were promoted
41:06based on their skills in merit and hard work,
41:09It undermines the credibility of their promotion or their status.
41:14Was it real or was it the EI?
41:16You know, and it takes away the respect that they deserve.
41:22One of the things about meritocracy that I think people forget is that it's the only system
41:25ever devised that has positive externalities.
41:28Yeah.
41:29Any other sort of system that you create is going to have negative externalities because
41:31you're literally just cronying with X group and whatever that group is, that group is going
41:36to get the benefits.
41:37And if you're not part of that group, then you get screwed.
41:39And meritocracy is the idea that the people who are going to succeed are people who innately
41:44are capable of creating for everyone else.
41:47I mean, you mentioned earlier how many employees you have.
41:49And people will talk about your level of personal wealth.
41:51But that level of personal wealth is largely stock holding.
41:54And that stock is encompassing.
41:55Yes, it was entirely stock.
41:56Yeah, exactly.
41:57I mean, it's like you're sitting on a giant wad of cash somewhere.
41:59I mean, you are, but not like dad.
42:01Yeah.
42:02It's just when I created the companies, I felt that it was important.
42:04Now, in my first company, I didn't have any money for my first internet company.
42:08I just had a hundred thousand dollars in student debt.
42:11But for those companies, it was the very early days that internet calls up to.
42:16But for old companies subsequently, I basically doubled down.
42:22I took the money from Zip2, invested it in X.com PayPal, and then took the PayPal money,
42:29invested that in creating Tesla and SpaceX.
42:35Because I didn't feel right that I should ask investors
42:39to invest if I was not prepared to invest my own money.
42:43I think the whole other people's money thing is not right.
42:45You wanna have skin in the game and put your capital
42:50where the capital of the company you're creating
42:54there with investors capital.
42:55And as a result of that, I own a lot of shares in the company.
43:01And the better the company does, the more valuable the shares are.
43:05But that's because the pie has grown.
43:07And so you have to say, what's at the root of a lot of the negativity is an axiomatic
43:15flaw that the pie is static, that it's a zero sum game.
43:20That if someone else succeeds, it's because they took more than their fair share of this
43:24fixed pie.
43:25but it's not a fixed buy.
43:28Obviously, the, there's a lot of, now I want some pie.
43:32I'm gonna go.
43:35I'm gonna go.
43:38Pie.
43:40But obviously the economic pie has grown considerably
43:45from what it was in the past.
43:48The output of goods and services, the productivity per person
43:52dramatically greater than it has been in the past.
43:54So when you create a new company and you will create
43:58new products and services, you're growing the
44:05bundle, as they say, Pi again, of you're growing the amount
44:11of goods and services available to people.
44:16So you've not taken anything away from anyone.
44:19you've created something new, and you've given people
44:23new products and services they didn't have before.
44:27You know, like we wouldn't use to have an iPhone,
44:29we wouldn't use to have computers,
44:31we wouldn't use to have cars or be able to fly in airplanes.
44:35We wouldn't use to have many of the life-saving medicines
44:38that we have today, these are all new things.
44:40The pie is going tremendously.
44:42This is one of the, I think this is the fundamental distinction
44:44between innovators and business people
44:45and people in the free market and the political class.
44:48the political class operates almost solely on the basis
44:51that the pie is fixed.
44:52Because if the pie is fixed, then the way that you get elected
44:55is by promising more of that pie to such and such a person.
44:59Or you promise that by seizing money from the private sector,
45:01you're personally going to grow the pie.
45:03And it seems to me that the first mark of a politician
45:06you shouldn't listen to is I can fix all of your problems.
45:09And that basically rules out in your way everybody.
45:11Because it seems like everyone in the political class
45:13is into the I can fix all of your problems.
45:15When it seems like what I actually
45:16need is people who are entrepreneurial and innovative
45:19to solve this problem in front of us,
45:21maybe so that we can then move on to the next problem
45:23that's in front of them.
45:24Yeah.
45:25Basically, the reality is that the government is really just
45:30a corporation in the limit.
45:32Government is the ultimate corporation.
45:34It's not different from a corporation.
45:36It's just the ultimate corporation.
45:38And it's a corporation that is a monopoly.
45:40And also, it can't go bankrupt unless the country goes
45:45bankrupt and has monopoly on violence.
45:49So how much more do you want to give to the world's biggest
45:53corporation that has monopoly on violence?
45:57Probably not, probably less.
46:00And I mean, if you look at countries like East
46:04and West Germany or North and South Korea,
46:07cases where there's just an arbitrary line that's been
46:09drawn, that could use the one country,
46:12arbitrary line is drawn because of a war.
46:15What is the productivity difference for one to the other?
46:20West Germany had a productivity five times greater
46:23than the East Germany.
46:27And it's not like West Germany was just the sort
46:30of bastion of capitalism.
46:31They're like half socialist.
46:34So even with, so what that means,
46:37if they have socialist and the other side
46:38is 100% socialist or communist,
46:40then you really have something like a 10 to 1 difference
46:44in productivity if something is done by the government
46:47or done by the private sector.
46:49That's why you, but I'm not someone who says abolish
46:52the government.
46:52I just say let's have the government do the least amount
46:55because the less the government does,
46:57the more the economy will prosper
46:59because anything done by the government,
47:01it's going to be five to 10 times less efficient.
47:04Like think of the DMV.
47:07I'm trying not to.
47:08Yes.
47:10If we're going to get out of DEI, what's the best way to get out of DEI?
47:13Well, I think DEI is starting to fade.
47:18First of all, DEI is actually illegal because it discriminates in the base of race, sex,
47:29sexual preference, and all those other things.
47:32That is actually illegal.
47:34So somehow, they managed to get this illegal thing in place.
47:40But now we're starting to see a large number of lawsuits
47:44saying, no, actually, the law says you cannot discriminate
47:48on the basis of sex, sexual identity, and race.
47:54So I think DI is on its last legs.
48:00It's going to be a root because it's illegal, actually.
48:04literally. So I know running out of time. So I wanted to I do want to ask you, you
48:09know, you've had such a fascinating light, but what is the if there was an
48:13experience that defined you like the the encapsulating experience that defined
48:17you as a person? What would what do you think that is? I don't know if there's one
48:21single experience that defined me. And philosophically I read a lot of books
48:26in philosophy, a lot of religious books, and I did have an
48:32existential crisis when I was about 12.
48:36And then Red hijack is the galaxy,
48:38which is really a book in philosophy that just guides
48:41this humor.
48:42And that gave me a new philosophy,
48:46which is to try to understand the meaning of life.
48:51And then if you take axiomatically
48:54that you want to understand the meaning of life,
48:56the nature of the universe, then in order to do that,
49:00you have to expand the scope.
49:02the scope and scale of consciousness, and get out there and explore the galaxy, and then
49:11you can better understand the meaning of life.
49:14It's funny that you and Thomas Aquinas and my monadies all come to this end sort of conclusion
49:18because the basic premise religiously for them was explore the universe, therefore you're
49:23exploring God, every exploration of the world around you is in essence an exploration
49:27of God's system and brings you closer to the divine.
49:29And you're getting there in sort of a backwards way, even if you don't know what I'm getting
49:33to, the divine per se.
49:34Right, I'm not just agreeing with those who believe in God.
49:37I'm saying that even if you do believe in God, let us go out there and explore God's wondrous
49:44creation.
Are we live or? I don't know, I assume we are. We're rolling. We're rolling. Okay. You guys are good. This is how normal we are. Yeah. You're just going to the front. Yeah, yeah, sure, sure. So, okay. Let's go see the chairs. You too. Yeah. Yeah. Lovely country of Poland. Yeah, exactly. Didn't expect to meet a nice girl like you here. Here we are. We're in Poland. They just brought us together. Exactly. So, I want to ask you about what feels like a giant war on the meritocracy on achievement.0:00
You're the richest person in the world. You've started three of the biggest companies in history. Non-sovereign, not counting sovereign. No, I can't not. And who would? And who would? It's a sound, not a sugar-pooten from, you know, I'm the buddy. Well, yeah, I mean, I'm a starter-war-ish. Exactly, exactly. If you were assassinations, I'd love this as well. Yeah, yeah, exactly. So, why do you think right now there is such a war?0:29
And it seems like on all sides of the political aisle, against people who achieve, against people who are smart. It feels like right now innovators are under attack. And again, it doesn't seem like that's super political. It seems like people on the right and people on the left have this giant theory that the economy, that whoever succeeds in the economy, must necessarily be rigging it, that innovators are somehow screwing the little guy.0:52
Now what do you make of that? Where's that coming from? Well, I mean, I think some of this is really just communism rebranded, just with different marketing. Fundamental to the free market or capitalism is meritocracy. It made the best product or service win, and the best product or service will be made by the team that works the hardest, as the most talented, and that is what results in great products and services in a capitalist economy.1:15
me. And, you know, I always blows my mind when I discover that, you know, kids coming out of college in America who have had things very easy take communism actually seriously. It blows my mind. I thought it was a joke. If I was on X, FK, Twitter, I was joking, but the ridiculousness of taking that seriously anymore. And then a whole bunch of people attacked me, like of course it's serious. I'm like what? You guys crazy just dust off your copy of dust,1:46
copper to all of you. What are you kidding me? I'm like how many times does that experiment bring run with terrible consequences? And you know generally for any given political philosophy, you have to say which side has to build the world to keep people in. That's the bad side. It's not subtle. It wasn't West Berlin that built the wall. Wait, you see this giant sort of myth making project that's taken place where, you know, if you are successful, they2:20
now have to rewrite history about you. So you've gotten the, you were apparently an emerald scion, you were brought uber wealthy. We were just one. We were just one. I'd like to see a picture of this mine. If everyone can dig this mine up, I'd love to see it. First of all, the entire emerald industry is like worth of pittance. And I've never been seen this mine. It's some random story that my dad made up, basically. My dad, who has many talents, I want to be clear,2:53
he's an extremely talented electrical and mechanical engineer, and a very talented artist. I mean, he could draw everything from like in the style of rambrons to watercolors to sketches, anything. you could sketch this room and then say do a caricature of anyone and he'll do a capture that matches their personality. It might be the best real-time artist I've ever seen. So he's got a lot of talents but unfortunately he has a few screws loose.3:27
Fast don't we all. And he actually went bankrupt in the 90s. So my brother and I have been supporting it financially for the last 25 years and we've inherited nothing from him, you know, so there's no anything. I arrived in Canada with just over $2,000 in Canadian Travelers' checks back when that was a thing. And one bag full of my clothes and a backpack full of books. That was my entire possessions. That's how I started, nothing more.3:52
And so why do you think people insist on rewriting the history, making it that you're in air? I mean, I get some of the same thing on mine or level, right? I brought the live. So I gave it air. Right. To air is human they say. But they air on the air. But there is something that's weird happening out there. You innovate and you make new things. And there is a drive to hem in that innovation. I was recently talking with a pretty major political figure in the United States who's4:26
not at the left. And he was suggesting, for example, that we need to have outlaw automated driving. He's going to put truckers out of work. Because if we don't automatically out love the new technologies, this kind of blood atism, then people are going to be out of work. It's going to destroy the society. And what we really have to focus on are the people who are going to be left behind by the technology. What do you make of that?4:58
Well, first of all, I think, ultimately, if you have digital superintelligence, I'm not sure there's a job for anyone. Yeah. So the whole AI discussion is a question in and of itself. I do think in a positive AI future that there will be no shortage of goods and services. So it won't be universal basic income, it'll be universal high income. Now that all sounds good, but in terms of the book, Man Search for Meaning, well, to5:16
to the degree that you're defined by your career, you may have trouble finding meaning in life. So that's more the challenge that, you know, if one is to have an existential crisis, it's like, well, how can I do anything useful if the computer can do everything better than me? That will really be the challenge. Now maybe that'll be fine. Maybe you just play, you know, watch it in credit or movies, play video games and do water sports5:52
and computer just does everything else. But I guess that's the blind scenario. Have you read in banks? No. Highly recommend in banks the culture books. It's probably the best semi utopian future of AI, where the computers are far smarter than humans, but they take care of the humans. Like they care about the humans being happy. So in that future, I mean, I think one of the things you've talked about is the fact that the West is completely6:19
under reproducing. Not too do you personally. You've been very productive. And I have for kids. We're both ahead of this. But that would be presumably. You're my fifth. I'll talk to my wife. That would be one of the places to presume that people will have to put their efforts. And what's interesting is that the people who are putting their efforts in those directions tend to be by and large more religiously oriented. We're seeing the science of acumen as well.6:53
there is you kids and religious people have many, many kids, right? The atheist are bringing themselves out. I talked to Richard Dawkins, you know. Yeah. Yeah. I wrote the selfish gene, mind-watchmaker and whatnot, and coined the term me, my belief. And I said, well, you know, so how many kids do you have, Richard? Oh, one. OK. So you're going to have one kid, great. Yes, the birth rate tends to correlate with the degree to which someone is religious, the7:19
degree to which they have the least amount of education, and basically the poorer someone is, the less educated someone is, and the more religious they are, the more kids they will have. So those are objective correlates. So I'm going to make the case to you on a religious level that the only one of those things that is possible to have in the West and not get rid of all the glories of the West is a belief in a higher power or inner religious belief of some sort because you can be rich7:56
and I mean, I'm doing pretty well with that four days. You can't be like a nihilist or something. Right, exactly. Like, nihilism doesn't tend toward anything. And I know that you've thought a lot about that sort of stuff and how do you get out of that sort of the nihilist box and find what to do? Well, my religion for lack of a better word is one of curiosity, where we want to expand the scope of scale consciousness on Earth and beyond Earth and ultimately to other star8:20
systems. And in order to do that, we need to increase the number of conscious beings and we need to advance technology such that we can have a self-sustaining city on Mars, ultimately populate the whole solar system and then go beyond our solar system to other star systems. And therefore, we need more humans. First of all. So I mean, that's an amazingly different goal than what we've had for the past. Yeah, I propose this as a new philosophy.8:52
Yeah. Well, not new, but maybe niche, but hopefully getting a bit bigger. So with that philosophy in mind, the purpose of that philosophy is that the more we expand the scope and scale of consciousness, the more we are able to understand the reality that we live in, the nature of the universe. And to answer the questions that we have, and perhaps more importantly, to know what questions we are not asking.9:22
As Douglas Adams would say in Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy, the answer is the easy the hard part, answers 42, what's the question? So I think that's a pretty optimistic, positive philosophy. Also has a lot of room for other beliefs, if you want to add them to the fundamental tenets of my belief structure are expand the scale of consciousness. I mean, more people, I guess more computers to the degree that they are conscious.9:55
And we want to pass through one of the great filters that, you know, you've fully with the Fermi Paradox and the great filter. No. Okay, so Enrico Fermi, great, amazing physicist, posed a very simple question. He said, we're the aliens because we've seen no sign of them. Now, a lot of people think they've seen signs of aliens. I have seen no evidence whatsoever of aliens. So that's a troubling question.10:31
Why not? So one of the answers, perhaps the most likely answer, is that we're at the tiny candle of consciousness that constitutes humanity is all that there is. in this vast doctors. And I think we should assume that that is the case until we actually have evidence to the contrary. And moreover, human consciousness only arose after 4 and 1 half billion years.11:03
It took a long time. And if it had taken even 10% longer, it probably would not have evolved because the sun is expanding. As the sun expands, it'll start heating Earth. and Earth will, the oceans will evaporate, will become more like Venus, inhospitable to life. So I think we may have made, we may have achieved consciousness, or consciousness that's capable of developing technology just in time. I find it remarkable that we are at this point in history11:36
where we're able for the first time to go beyond Earth, to send people, we said people to the moon in the early 70s, but not, essence, not gone back. But with the Starship rocket that SpaceX is developing, we had two test flights, we'll have many more this year, that that vehicle is designed to make life multi-planetary. It's the first vehicle that I just gave them during that, a permanent base on the moon and I said, yeah, Mars. So I think we12:11
Everyone want to get that done as soon as possible. The window of opportunity to make life multi-planetary and secure the future of consciousness may be open for a long time or may be open for a short time. I think it will be wise to, not assume that it will be open for a long time. So, when we act now, to act now to make life multi-planetary. And one of the things that's fascinating about your saying is that it assumes an innate12:44
level of belief and love for human beings. Yes. I love humanity. So why? I mean, it's a weird question, but I mean, really kind of why. I mean, we're not that great. We have amazing, particularly. We can be angels, we can be devils. Obviously, we have the capacity for all of the things in between. What do you think makes, aside from just the qualities that theoretically could be duplicated by AI in the very near future?13:12
What makes human beings unique and worthwhile? I'll tell you something. I think that maybe resonates. I think actually everyone loves humanity. Now, they may not love everyone in humanity. But you say, how many people want to be in solitary confinement? OK. How many people want to live alone in a forest by themselves? Almost no human beings want to do that. So actually, in reality, all humans love humanity and want to be part of humanity, with the rare exception of someone who's got severe psychological13:38
issues. So that's why solitary confinement is considered a terrible punishment in prison. Because even though other prisoners are probably not the finest examples of humans, you still want to hang out with them. So I think it's a natural thing. You know, as long as kids aren't taught to hate other people, I think the natural inclination is to love humanity. So I'm going to go back to some of the business conversation14:16
that I want to go back to the SpaceX of it. When it comes to business, what do you see as sort of the biggest obstacles to not only the success of your companies, but to success generally? because there seems to be this idea abroad that people can't duplicate the path. It basically used to be that people like you could succeed, but now it's totally finished and now you can't get ahead. America, the biggest change in that regard is for even more.14:49
There are new companies being formed all the time in the US. Well, what do you see as the obstacles to companies being successful increasingly in the West if there are obstacles to that? Well, I think excess regulation, you know, taxes do rash out every year, making a little difficult, a little harder every year as taxes rash out. But the regulatory creep is, I think, a massive danger. So laws and regulations are immortal.15:16
But the regulators and the lawmakers make new rules and regulations and laws and regulations every year. And so you have this, so every year you've got this sort of another layer of laws and regulations. I saw this getting to the point where everything's legal. You can't get anything done. Now, they say, well, how do they deal with it in the past? Well, the way they dealt with it in the past would there be a war. And the war would wash away the old rules and regulations.15:47
That's, we literally would take a war to change things. like Napoleon establishing the Napoleonic Code that overrode the old law systems, the loads in peasants, and for all that the bad that Napoleon did, I think he did more good, actually. So the evidence is in that, I think, maybe a third or half of all countries on Earth still run on the Napoleonic Code.16:17
So, and I would prefer to have some clean up process for laws and regulations that doesn't require a wall, that would be nice. I think that's something we need to institute, like basically garbage collection for laws and regulations. And one of the things that has been suggested, a book called the Sovereign Individual written in the late 90s, that basically suggested that we are entering the era of avoidance, that people are going to be able to be sovereigns.16:51
You talk about Savarnell, if earlier you're not king of something, but you are the head of your companies. And so in the future, people will just be able to move money around, locate where the regulations are the friendliest. And so the United States right now thinks that we have the advantage because we historically have. But that doesn't mean that that's how it's going to go in the future. You're seeing more and more companies, for example, going to Singapore or going elsewhere17:20
just to move away from those regulations. So avoidance, which wasn't a strategy in 17th century France, where you're going to go exactly, is now a very real set of possibilities for a lot of entrepreneurs. Yeah. Well, and regulation in the US, various by state as well. California is the most regulated state. So increasingly people seek to do things outside of California or outside of New York. Those are the two most heavily regulated states.17:40
So given all those things, do you think that there's going to be a backlash to regulation in America? Or do you think that the West is sort of America being a stand-in for that? sliding into this morass of regulation based on, honestly, it looks like to a certain extent jealousy, it looks like trying to tear down success in the name of fairness, as opposed to. I mean, it's here for the things. There's regulation, it's where she intended18:05
to serve the public good. You know, rules against one thing or another. Like the car industry gets, you know, has lots of rules in how to make a car. I mean, there'll be like piles of books in this room to cover just the US regulations, what is required to build a car. Those are, at least ostensibly, they're aimed for safety. But in terms of other regulations, yeah, I think generally we wanna be averse18:30
to any regulation that is anti-meritocratic. The point of fighting racism, sexism, and whatnot was not to replace it with another form of racism and sexism, but to get rid of racism and get rid of sexism, not to change it to another form. DEI is fundamentally racist and sexist. So I want to get back to the space conversation. That's fascinating. And I was telling you before we started this, my son is like the biggest SpaceX fan that's possible to be, because19:07
what you're doing is inspiring on a truly galactic level. So when we talk about getting to Mars, how realistic do you think that is? There's a book that just came out, reviewed in the Wall Street Journal, talking about all of the various obstacles to human beings actually living on Mars. Like we live in a pretty propitious place. I mean, the world is a pretty wonderful planet. And so, yeah, exactly. So what are the biggest obstacles?19:40
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